Nate Silver
American statistician and writer
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| 2024 | Silver voted for Kamala Harris in the election. |
| 2024 | Silver created an election forecast for the 2024 U.S. presidential election between Trump and Harris, which predicted an almost even chance of winning the Electoral College and correctly forecast Trump's victory in most swing states and the presidency. |
| 2024 | Silver voted for Kamala Harris in the election. |
| 2024 | Silver created an election forecast for the 2024 U.S. presidential election between Trump and Harris, which predicted an almost even chance of winning the Electoral College and correctly forecast Trump's victory in most swing states and the presidency. |
| November 2024 | Silver reported significant financial success from Silver Bulletin, ranking third on Substack's politics leaderboard with 282,000 subscribers. |
| November 2024 | Silver reported significant financial success from Silver Bulletin, ranking third on Substack's politics leaderboard with 282,000 subscribers. |
| August 2024 | Silver published his book 'On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything', exploring calculated risks in various fields like finance and poker. |
| August 2024 | Silver published his book 'On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything', exploring calculated risks in various fields like finance and poker. |
| June 2024 | Silver released his own election forecasting model at Silver Bulletin, using methodology similar to his previous model at 538, and joined Polymarket prediction market startup as an advisor. |
| June 2024 | Silver released his own election forecasting model at Silver Bulletin, using methodology similar to his previous model at 538, and joined Polymarket prediction market startup as an advisor. |
| 2023 | Silver participated in the World Series of Poker Main Event, finishing in 87th place and earning part of his $811,142 total tournament earnings. |
| 2023 | Silver participated in the World Series of Poker Main Event, finishing in 87th place and earning part of his $811,142 total tournament earnings. |
| May 2023 | Silver departed from FiveThirtyEight, with the site continuing to operate under the data analytics division of ABC News with a reduced team. |
| May 2023 | Departs from FiveThirtyEight and begins publishing on his Substack blog, Silver Bulletin, while serving as an advisor to Polymarket. |
| May 2023 | Silver departed from FiveThirtyEight, with the site continuing to operate under the data analytics division of ABC News with a reduced team. |
| May 2023 | Departs from FiveThirtyEight and begins publishing on his Substack blog, Silver Bulletin, while serving as an advisor to Polymarket. |
| April 2023 | Nate Silver announced that his contract with ABC would not be extended, coinciding with widespread layoffs at Disney and ABC affecting FiveThirtyEight. |
| April 2023 | Nate Silver announced that his contract with ABC would not be extended, coinciding with widespread layoffs at Disney and ABC affecting FiveThirtyEight. |
| 2022 | Silver voted for Kathy Hochul in the election. |
| 2022 | Silver voted for Kathy Hochul in the election. |
| 2020 | Predicts the outcome of the U.S. presidential election with high accuracy. |
| 2020 | Predicts the outcome of the U.S. presidential election with high accuracy. |
| 2018 | FiveThirtyEight was sold to ABC News, further consolidating its position in media and political analysis. |
| 2018 | FiveThirtyEight was sold to ABC News, further consolidating its position in media and political analysis. |
| May 2018 | Kenyon College awarded Silver a Doctor of Humane Letters degree. |
| May 2018 | Kenyon College awarded Silver a Doctor of Humane Letters degree. |
| May 2017 | Georgetown University awarded Silver a Doctor of Humane Letters degree, honoris causa. |
| May 2017 | Georgetown University awarded Silver a Doctor of Humane Letters degree, honoris causa. |
| 2016 | Silver provides a 28.6% chance of victory for Donald Trump, which was higher than any other scientific forecast at the time. |
| 2016 | Silver voted for John Kasich in the New York Republican presidential primary, believing Kasich would be a better alternative to Trump. |
| 2016 | Silver provides a 28.6% chance of victory for Donald Trump, which was higher than any other scientific forecast at the time. |
| 2016 | Silver voted for John Kasich in the New York Republican presidential primary, believing Kasich would be a better alternative to Trump. |
| November 8 2016 | FiveThirtyEight issued its final election prediction for the U.S. presidential election, giving Hillary Clinton a 71% chance of winning, while simultaneously projecting a 29% chance for Donald Trump - a notably more nuanced forecast compared to other election modelers. |
| November 8 2016 | FiveThirtyEight issued its final election prediction for the U.S. presidential election, giving Hillary Clinton a 71% chance of winning, while simultaneously projecting a 29% chance for Donald Trump - a notably more nuanced forecast compared to other election modelers. |
| 2015 | Appeared on the Employee of the Month podcast, where he criticized Vox Media for 'recycling Wikipedia entries'. |
| 2015 | Appeared on the Employee of the Month podcast, where he criticized Vox Media for 'recycling Wikipedia entries'. |
| 2014 | Wrote the introduction for 'The Best American Infographics 2014' published by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. |
| 2014 | Wrote the introduction for 'The Best American Infographics 2014' published by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt. |
| May 25 2014 | Silver received a Doctorate of Humane Letters, honoris causa, from Amherst College. |
| May 25 2014 | Silver received a Doctorate of Humane Letters, honoris causa, from Amherst College. |
| March 2014 | Co-authored 'Best Picture Math' article published in Vanity Fair. |
| March 2014 | Co-authored 'Best Picture Math' article published in Vanity Fair. |
| March 17 2014 | FiveThirtyEight was relaunched under Disney's ESPN, with Nate Silver outlining the scope of topics for the site's data journalism approach. |
| March 17 2014 | FiveThirtyEight was relaunched under Disney's ESPN, with Nate Silver outlining the scope of topics for the site's data journalism approach. |
| December 2013 | The University of Leuven in Belgium awarded Silver an honorary doctoral degree for his prominent role in developing and applying prediction methods in sports and political sciences. |
| December 2013 | The University of Leuven in Belgium awarded Silver an honorary doctoral degree for his prominent role in developing and applying prediction methods in sports and political sciences. |
| November 3 2013 | First appearance on ABC News's This Week with George Stephanopoulos as Editor-in-Chief of FiveThirtyEight.com. |
| November 3 2013 | First appearance on ABC News's This Week with George Stephanopoulos as Editor-in-Chief of FiveThirtyEight.com. |
| October 2013 | Silver's book 'The Signal and the Noise' won the Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science, recognizing outstanding contributions to scientific literature. |
| October 2013 | Silver's book 'The Signal and the Noise' won the Phi Beta Kappa Award in Science, recognizing outstanding contributions to scientific literature. |
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