Intelligence analysis

Analysing secret intelligence

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We include updates on National Security Agency, Cognitive bias, OODA loop, The World Factbook, Clandestine cell system, Clandestine HUMINT operational techniques, National Counterterrorism Center, Recruitment of spies, Words of estimative probability, FSB Academy, Ghost Wars, Intellipedia, Data retention, Intelink, Open Source Information System, Stovepiping ... and more.

August 2024 LtGen Melvin G. Carter becomes Director of Marine Corps Intelligence, serving from August 2024 to present.
April 2024
Sentient
At the 39th Space Symposium, NRO's principal deputy director Troy Meink discussed plans to diversify satellite fleet, increase satellite assets in unique orbits, and expand AI-based data ingestion using Sentient-type systems and ground systems.
November 29 2023
Department of National Security
Loreto Gutiérrez Hurtado (military) assumes the role of Director, succeeding Miguel Ángel Ballesteros
June 2023 LtGen Matthew Glavy becomes Director of Marine Corps Intelligence, serving until July 2024.
2022
Cognitive bias
ISO/IEC published Technical Report TR 24368 which further refined and referenced the definition of cognitive bias from the previous year's report.
June 2022
Sentient
NRO declassified and released two redacted reports on Sentient activities related to a UAP (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena) sighting of a 'tic tac' shape, revealing the program's involvement with the Department of Defense's Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Task Force.
June 2022
Sentient
The National Reconnaissance Office declassified and released two redacted reports on Sentient's activities related to tracking and researching unidentified aerial phenomena, including a sighting of a 'tic tac' shaped object.
2021
Sentient
United States Army Captain Anjanay Kumar proposed that Sentient would be a potential target in a hypothetical conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan.
2021
Sentient
NRO emails disclose the involvement of the Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Task Force (UAPTF) with the Sentient program, which later transitioned to the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO).
2021
Cognitive bias
ISO/IEC published Technical Report TR 24027 providing a formal definition of cognitive bias, describing it as a bias that occurs when humans are processing and interpreting information.
2019
Sentient
NRO documents from 2012 describing the Sentient program are declassified.
June 19 2018
Department of National Security
Miguel Ángel Ballesteros, a military officer, becomes Director of the Department of National Security, replacing Cristina Ysasi-Ysasmendi.
January 27 2018
Department of National Security
Cristina Ysasi-Ysasmendi, a civil servant, succeeds Alfonso de Senillosa as Director of the Department of National Security.
2017
Sentient
Robert Cardillo, former Director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, described Sentient as a joint research and development effort with NRO to experiment with automated data processing and intelligence inference.
2016
Sentient
The Rand Corporation summarized a major benefit of the Sentient system, highlighting its potential to allow intelligence analysts to focus on strategic analysis while automation handles data collection details.
2016
Sentient
Betty J. Sapp discussed the application of cubesat systems for NRO work, which were tested as part of the Sentient program.
2015
Sentient
Sentient and National Overhead Systems Future Ground Architecture program had an annual budget of $238,000,000, with Air Force colonel Thomas Nix serving as the technical lead and Operations Branch Chief.
2015
Cognitive bias
Carey K. Morewedge and colleagues conducted research demonstrating that one-shot training interventions, such as educational videos and debiasing games, could significantly reduce participants' commission of six cognitive biases, with effects lasting immediately and up to 3 months later.
January 2 2015 The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) issued Intelligence Community Directive (ICD) 203, establishing Intelligence Community (IC) Analytic Standards to govern the production and evaluation of analytic products, emphasizing the responsibility of intelligence analysts to maintain excellence, integrity, and rigor in their analytical work.
2014
Sentient
First public disclosure of Sentient as a full program occurs in the United States Naval Research Laboratory's NRL Review.
2013
Sentient
Sentient program entered initial development phase at the National Reconnaissance Office.
2013
Sentient
Sentient program enters initial development phase, with NRO documents indicating ongoing R&D efforts.
2013
Sentient
At the GEOINT Symposium, Betty J. Sapp discussed Sentient's potential to make the National Reconnaissance Office more responsive and predictive in aiming spaceborne assets.
2013 Jones and Silberzahn published 'Constructing Cassandra: Reframing Intelligence Failure at the CIA, 1947–2001', a volume examining intelligence analysis, hypotheses formation, and organizational biases in intelligence work from 1947 to 2001.
July 2013 Brigadier General Michael Groen becomes Director of Marine Corps Intelligence, serving until June 2016.
2012
Sentient
Official NRO documents describe Sentient as an ongoing Research and Development (R&D) program managed by the National Reconnaissance Office.
2012
Cognitive bias
A Psychological Bulletin article was published, demonstrating that noisy information processing in memory can produce at least eight seemingly unrelated cognitive biases, including regressive conservatism, illusory correlations, and overconfidence.
July 23 2012
Department of National Security
Alfonso de Senillosa begins his tenure as Director of the Department of National Security
July 20 2012
Department of National Security
The Department of National Security (DSN) was officially created through Royal Decree 1119/2012, establishing it as an advisory staff department within the Spanish Prime Minister's Office to support national security policy leadership.
2010
Sentient
Continued development and documentation of the Sentient program by the National Reconnaissance Office and its Advanced Systems and Technology Directorate.
2010
Sentient
The NRO publicly requests information (RFI) for white papers on Sentient, focusing on user interaction technology, computing self-awareness, cognitive processing, and automated system processing.

This contents of the box above is based on material from the Wikipedia articles Sentient (intelligence analysis system), Department of National Security (Spain), Marine Corps Intelligence, Intelligence analysis & Cognitive bias, which are released under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

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